
<table style="text-align:center"><caption><strong>Average Treatment Effects for New Peace Provisions at Wave 2.</strong></caption>
<tr><td colspan="8" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td colspan="7"><em>Dependent variable:</em></td></tr>
<tr><td></td><td colspan="7" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>route_1</td><td>route_2</td><td>trust</td><td>mines</td><td>aid</td><td>pow</td><td>return</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="8" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td style="text-align:left">Armenia</td><td>-1.313<sup>***</sup></td><td>-0.182</td><td>-0.529</td><td>-2.160<sup>***</sup></td><td>-1.326<sup>***</sup></td><td>-0.104</td><td>-1.828<sup>***</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(-1.849, -0.776)</td><td>(-0.919, 0.556)</td><td>(-1.203, 0.144)</td><td>(-2.639, -1.682)</td><td>(-1.752, -0.900)</td><td>(-0.738, 0.529)</td><td>(-2.357, -1.298)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Azerbaijan</td><td>-0.100</td><td>-0.575</td><td>0.363</td><td>-0.050</td><td>-0.000</td><td>-0.425</td><td>0.075</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(-0.627, 0.427)</td><td>(-1.300, 0.150)</td><td>(-0.298, 1.023)</td><td>(-0.519, 0.419)</td><td>(-0.419, 0.419)</td><td>(-1.046, 0.196)</td><td>(-0.444, 0.594)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Both</td><td>-0.426</td><td>1.045<sup>**</sup></td><td>1.203<sup>**</sup></td><td>-0.392</td><td>-0.149</td><td>0.992<sup>**</sup></td><td>-0.102</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(-0.964, 0.112)</td><td>(0.308, 1.782)</td><td>(0.420, 1.987)</td><td>(-0.944, 0.161)</td><td>(-0.646, 0.348)</td><td>(0.255, 1.729)</td><td>(-0.718, 0.514)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">IC</td><td>-0.400</td><td>0.030</td><td>0.350</td><td>-0.551<sup>*</sup></td><td>-0.730<sup>***</sup></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(-0.930, 0.131)</td><td>(-0.700, 0.760)</td><td>(-0.315, 1.014)</td><td>(-1.023, -0.079)</td><td>(-1.152, -0.309)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Constant</td><td>5.912<sup>***</sup></td><td>3.675<sup>***</sup></td><td>4.638<sup>***</sup></td><td>6.525<sup>***</sup></td><td>6.512<sup>***</sup></td><td>5.213<sup>***</sup></td><td>6.125<sup>***</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(5.540, 6.285)</td><td>(3.162, 4.188)</td><td>(4.171, 5.104)</td><td>(6.193, 6.857)</td><td>(6.216, 6.809)</td><td>(4.773, 5.652)</td><td>(5.758, 6.492)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="8" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td style="text-align:left">Observations</td><td>387</td><td>388</td><td>356</td><td>357</td><td>357</td><td>278</td><td>278</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">R<sup>2</sup></td><td>0.069</td><td>0.050</td><td>0.054</td><td>0.226</td><td>0.135</td><td>0.050</td><td>0.193</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Adjusted R<sup>2</sup></td><td>0.059</td><td>0.040</td><td>0.043</td><td>0.217</td><td>0.125</td><td>0.040</td><td>0.184</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="8" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td style="text-align:left"><em>Note:</em></td><td colspan="7" style="text-align:left">Cell entries are unstandardized OLS coefficients with confidence intervals (CIs) in parentheses. Support for each peace provision is measured on a 7-point scale. Route 1 = New route connecting the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic and Azerbaijan. Route 2 = New route connecting Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia. Trust = Trust- and cohesion-building workshops between Armenian and Azerbaijani citizens. Mines = Clearing towns, villages, roads, and the land around them of mines and unexploded ordnance. Aid = Aid to military personnel left disabled by the war and to the families of those killed. POW = Release of all prisoners of war, hostages, and other detained persons. Displaced = Return of people displaced during the 1994 and 2020 conflict. Full question wording in Appendix A.2. * p<0.05; ** p<0.01; *** p<0.001 (two-tailed)</td></tr>
</table>
